Back to Feed
Andrew Yang Secures 2028 Democratic Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Andrew Yang Secures 2028 Democratic Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The Democratic Party's search for a nominee to contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election is a complex and evolving process. Andrew Yang, a businessman and former presidential hopeful, has been a notable voice in progressive policy discussions, particularly advocating for universal basic income. While Yang has engaged in past political campaigns, including a bid for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination and a run for New York City Mayor, his path to securing the party's endorsement for the 2028 presidential race is viewed as a long shot by current market indicators. The political landscape is dynamic, with many potential figures expected to emerge and contend for the nomination, making any early predictions about a specific individual's success highly speculative. The ultimate choice of the nominee will depend on a wide array of factors, including policy alignment, campaign effectiveness, and broader political trends leading up to the election.

Sources

Resolution Rules

The market resolves to "Yes" if Andrew Yang wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, as determined by official Democratic Party sources. Otherwise, it resolves to "No."

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: ecfdce35