Back to Feed
Phil Murphy Fails to Secure Democratic Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Phil Murphy Fails to Secure Democratic Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The 2028 race for the Democratic presidential nomination is beginning to take shape, with various figures within the party being discussed as potential contenders. However, current indicators and market sentiment suggest a low probability for New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy to emerge as the party's chosen candidate. While Murphy has a track record as a two-term governor and has held significant positions in national and international finance, his name has not consistently appeared at the forefront of speculative discussions regarding the 2028 nomination. The field is expected to be competitive, featuring a diverse range of experienced politicians and potentially new faces, making any long-shot bid a significant uphill battle. As the political landscape evolves, the focus remains on established party leaders and those with broader national recognition, placing Murphy in a challenging position to capture the nomination.

Sources

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to 'Yes' if Phil Murphy wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Resolution is based on official Democratic Party sources, and any nominee replacement before Election Day does not affect the market.

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 9ca24d8b