Back to Feed
Raphael Warnock Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Raphael Warnock Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The race for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential nomination is beginning to take shape, with various figures within the party being considered as potential contenders. As the incumbent party, Democrats will aim to maintain control of the White House, leading to a competitive primary season. Sources

Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is among those whose name has surfaced in discussions about the future leadership of the party. While he has established a significant political profile through his Senate tenure, securing a presidential nomination involves a complex path of fundraising, campaigning, and winning over delegates across the country. The current political climate and the potential field of candidates will heavily influence the dynamics of the nomination contest. Sources

Sources

Resolution Rules

Market resolves to "Yes" if Raphael Warnock wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". Resolution is based on official Democratic Party sources.

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 9b3583cd