Back to Feed
Călin Georgescu unlikely to win Bucharest mayoral by-election.
Highly Unlikely

Călin Georgescu unlikely to win Bucharest mayoral by-election.

Current Probability0%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

Bucharest is set for a mayoral by-election on December 7, 2025, after the current mayor, Nicușor Dan, was elected President of Romania. This transition necessitates a new election to fill the mayoral seat.

The election will determine who will lead the Romanian capital, with any interim appointments not counting towards the final resolution. The outcome will be determined by credible news sources or, in cases of ambiguity, by the official results from the Romanian Government's Permanent Electoral Authority. Should the election not proceed by July 31, 2026, the market will be settled as 'Other'.

Sources

Resolution Rules

The market resolves based on the winner of the Bucharest mayoral by-election on December 7, 2025, following Nicușor Dan's election as President of Romania. An interim mayor does not count. If no election occurs by July 31, 2026, it resolves to 'Other'. Resolution is based on credible reporting or official Romanian Government results.

Resolution Deadline

December 7, 2025

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 9b10a939