Grindeanu Loses Bucharest Mayoral By-Election

A by-election for the Mayor of Bucharest is scheduled for December 7, 2025, following the election of the current mayor, Nicușor Dan, as President of Romania. This election will determine who will fill the remainder of Dan's term. The market's low probability for Sorin Grindeanu's victory suggests a strong consensus that he is not expected to win the mayoral race. The resolution of this market will be based on the official results reported by the Romanian Government's Permanent Electoral Authority.