Superman (2025) Fails to Top 2025 Box Office
Event Context
The prediction market suggests a very low probability, around 0.15%, that the upcoming 'Superman' film will achieve the highest domestic box office gross for the 2025 calendar year. The resolution hinges on data from Box Office Mojo, specifically the 'Gross' column for 2025.
This forecast indicates that while 'Superman' is a highly anticipated release, market participants do not foresee it outperforming all other films scheduled for release in 2025 in terms of total domestic earnings within that specific year. The market's criteria focus exclusively on the calendar year's gross, excluding any earnings from late 2024 or early 2026.
Final results will be determined by January 7, 2026, after all 2025 box office data is compiled and made available on Box Office Mojo. If an exact tie occurs, the film that is listed first alphabetically will be declared the winner.
Resolution Rules
The market resolves to 'Yes' if 'Superman' (2025) has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2025, according to Box Office Mojo. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Ties are broken alphabetically.
Resolution Deadline
December 31, 2025
Market Source: Polymarket